2026 U.S. House and Senate forecast

My 2026 Midterm Forecast

Class model + polls Class model

Senate

House

One square per district, grouped by state. Hover or tap a square for details.

Seat distribution

Closest races

About this model

A course forecast of the 2026 midterm elections, independent of any campaign, party or news organization. Race list and candidates: course race file, built from state candidate lists and the CAGE candidate data (Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder). Site template: PLSC 2219.